Conmebol Sudamericana . 1/16
Global 5-4
Arsenal de Sarandí vs Banfield analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
42.3%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1.1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.4%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.1%
+3
4.7%
2-0
8.3%
3-1
3.5%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
13.2%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.4%
28.4%
Draw
0-0
10.5%
1-1
13.2%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
<0%
0
28.4%
29.4%
Win probability
1
Expected goals
0-1
10.4%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.1%
-1
18.5%
0-2
5.2%
1-3
2.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
7.8%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.4%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal de Sarandí
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 0
LAN
42%
27%
31%
|
74 | 74 | 0 | 0 |
| 19 Jun. 2004 |
RAC
0 - 1
ARS
56%
25%
19%
|
73 | 77 | 4 | +1 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 2
CHA
50%
27%
23%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
BOC
3 - 0
ARS
67%
20%
12%
|
74 | 84 | 10 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2004 |
ARS
2 - 1
VEL
37%
28%
35%
|
73 | 78 | 5 | +1 |
Matches
Banfield
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Jun. 2004 |
BAN
1 - 1
CEN
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jun. 2004 |
EST
0 - 2
BAN
47%
26%
27%
|
78 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 13 Jun. 2004 |
BAN
3 - 1
GLP
54%
25%
21%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 May. 2004 |
CHI
0 - 2
BAN
40%
28%
33%
|
77 | 68 | 9 | 0 |
| 23 May. 2004 |
BAN
0 - 1
SLO
40%
27%
34%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | 0 |