Arsenal CF vs Arosa analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
61.9%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
6.6%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.3%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
2%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.7%
1-0
8.7%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.7%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23.2%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
9.3%
2-2
5.3%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
18%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.4%
1-2
4.9%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.5%
0-2
2.3%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.6%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ATO
2 - 0
ACF
60%
20%
21%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
DEP
1 - 2
ACF
50%
23%
27%
|
24 | 19 | 5 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
ACF
1 - 2
RCF
19%
22%
59%
|
24 | 50 | 26 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
CEL
1 - 2
ACF
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 24 | 1 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ACF
2 - 0
ZEL
59%
20%
21%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 1961 |
ARO
1 - 0
GRA
76%
14%
10%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 1961 |
ARO
1 - 4
LUG
42%
25%
33%
|
23 | 34 | 11 | -1 |
| 26 Nov. 1961 |
SAN
2 - 3
ARO
36%
25%
40%
|
23 | 15 | 8 | 0 |
| 19 Nov. 1961 |
ARO
7 - 2
MAR
70%
17%
13%
|
22 | 20 | 2 | +1 |
| 05 Nov. 1961 |
ARO
5 - 0
COX
49%
23%
28%
|
20 | 24 | 4 | +2 |