Tercera División RFEF XIV - Extremadura Round 32

Arroyo vs Olivenza analysis

Arroyo Olivenza
26 ELO 30
-23.6% Tilt -24.6%
11737º General ELO ranking 11216º
1242º Country ELO ranking 972º
ELO win probability
38%
Arroyo
26.2%
Draw
35.9%
Olivenza

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38%
Win probability
Arroyo
1.34
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.3%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.2%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.4%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.1%
1-0
9.6%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.7%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
7.2%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
35.9%
Win probability
Olivenza
1.3
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
20%
0-2
6%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Arroyo
-52%
-53%
Olivenza

Points and table prediction

Arroyo
Their league position
Olivenza
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
41
18º
12º
41
17º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
12º
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
CD Don Benito
76
76
100%
CD Coria
69
69
100%
CD Azuaga
62
62
100%
Villafranca
55
55
100%
Moralo
53
53
100%
Castuera
52
52
100%
CD Diocesano
49
49
100%
CF Jaraíz
46
46
100%
Pueblonuevo
43
43
100%
Calamonte
10º
42
42
10º
0%
Jerez
11º
42
42
11º
0%
Arroyo
13º
41
41
12º
100%
Olivenza
12º
41
41
13º
100%
Trujillo
14º
38
38
14º
100%
CD Don Álvaro
15º
32
32
15º
0%
Montehermoso
17º
32
32
16º
100%
Racing Valverdeño
16º
32
32
17º
0%
UD Fuente de Cantos
18º
25
25
18º
100%
Expected probabilities
Arroyo
Olivenza
Promotion
0% 0%
Promotion play-offs
0% 0%
Mid-table
100% 100%
Relegation
0% 0%

ELO progression

Arroyo
Olivenza
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Arroyo
Arroyo
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
JER
Jerez
3 - 1
Arroyo
ARR
39%
27%
34%
28 26 2 0
12 Apr. 2024
ARR
Arroyo
3 - 0
Montehermoso
MON
58%
23%
19%
28 22 6 0
07 Apr. 2024
CFJ
CF Jaraíz
0 - 2
Arroyo
ARR
59%
22%
19%
27 29 2 +1
28 Mar. 2024
ARR
Arroyo
1 - 1
Trujillo
TRU
47%
26%
27%
27 25 2 0
24 Mar. 2024
COR
CD Coria
0 - 0
Arroyo
ARR
83%
12%
5%
26 43 17 +1

Matches

Olivenza
Olivenza
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
21 Apr. 2024
PUE
Pueblonuevo
1 - 1
Olivenza
OLI
44%
25%
31%
29 28 1 0
14 Apr. 2024
OLI
Olivenza
1 - 2
Jerez
JER
57%
22%
21%
30 25 5 -1
07 Apr. 2024
MON
Montehermoso
3 - 3
Olivenza
OLI
25%
25%
50%
30 21 9 0
29 Mar. 2024
OLI
Olivenza
0 - 1
CF Jaraíz
CFJ
49%
23%
28%
30 28 2 0
23 Mar. 2024
TRU
Trujillo
1 - 1
Olivenza
OLI
28%
26%
46%
30 25 5 0