Arroyo vs Jerez analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
34.4%
Win probability
1.3
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.3%
4-0
0.8%
5-1
0.3%
6-2
<0%
+4
1.1%
3-0
2.4%
4-1
1.1%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.8%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
3.4%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.9%
1-0
8.5%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.3%
25.6%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
25.6%
40%
Win probability
1.43
Expected goals
0-1
9.3%
1-2
8.6%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
21.1%
0-2
6.6%
1-3
4.1%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.8%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
1.5%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
4.9%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.6%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-57%
+23%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
AZU
3 - 0
ARR
55%
23%
22%
|
22 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
ARR
2 - 1
TRU
45%
24%
31%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | 0 |
| 04 Oct. 2020 |
CHI
2 - 0
ARR
29%
25%
45%
|
23 | 18 | 5 | -1 |
| 01 Oct. 2020 |
TRU
1 - 0
ARR
41%
25%
34%
|
23 | 21 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
ARR
1 - 1
MOR
20%
22%
58%
|
23 | 35 | 12 | 0 |
Matches
Jerez
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Nov. 2020 |
JER
2 - 0
OLI
45%
24%
31%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2020 |
JER
2 - 0
ADL
56%
22%
22%
|
24 | 21 | 3 | 0 |
| 25 Oct. 2020 |
MIA
0 - 0
JER
25%
24%
52%
|
24 | 17 | 7 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2020 |
UDF
2 - 0
JER
25%
24%
51%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | -1 |
| 08 Mar. 2020 |
EMD
0 - 0
JER
36%
25%
40%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | 0 |