Arroyo vs Lorca FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
30.3%
Win probability
0.99
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.4%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.6%
3-0
1.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
+3
2.4%
2-0
5.5%
3-1
2.2%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
8%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
6.6%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.1%
+1
19.2%
29.1%
Draw
0-0
11.3%
1-1
13.3%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
29.1%
40.6%
Win probability
1.19
Expected goals
0-1
13.5%
1-2
7.9%
2-3
1.6%
3-4
0.2%
-1
23.1%
0-2
8%
1-3
3.2%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0%
-2
11.7%
0-3
3.2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.1%
-3
4.2%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
CAR
1 - 2
ARR
54%
23%
23%
|
47 | 49 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
0 - 0
UCA
29%
30%
41%
|
46 | 55 | 9 | +1 |
| 21 Mar. 2015 |
LUC
0 - 0
ARR
45%
26%
29%
|
46 | 48 | 2 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ARR
1 - 0
GRA
28%
29%
43%
|
45 | 54 | 9 | +1 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
BAL
3 - 0
ARR
60%
22%
18%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Lorca FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Apr. 2015 |
LOR
0 - 0
UCA
52%
26%
22%
|
53 | 55 | 2 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2015 |
GRA
0 - 2
LOR
59%
22%
19%
|
52 | 54 | 2 | +1 |
| 22 Mar. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 0
MAR
69%
19%
13%
|
52 | 43 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 Mar. 2015 |
ROD
0 - 1
LOR
36%
28%
36%
|
52 | 47 | 5 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 2015 |
LOR
1 - 2
RJA
39%
30%
31%
|
52 | 59 | 7 | 0 |