Arroyo vs Guadiana analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.5%
Win probability
1.86
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.4%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.5%
5-0
1.2%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
3.2%
5-1
1%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
4.4%
3-0
6.9%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
10.3%
2-0
11.2%
3-1
6.1%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
18.7%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
25%
22.3%
Draw
0-0
6.5%
1-1
10.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
22.2%
17.3%
Win probability
0.88
Expected goals
0-1
5.7%
1-2
4.6%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
11.8%
0-2
2.5%
1-3
1.4%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
4.2%
0-3
0.7%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-59%
+31%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
SAM
3 - 2
ARR
45%
24%
31%
|
18 | 17 | 1 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
ARR
0 - 1
OLI
48%
25%
27%
|
18 | 19 | 1 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
VIL
3 - 0
ARR
65%
21%
15%
|
18 | 23 | 5 | 0 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
ARR
1 - 1
JER
14%
21%
65%
|
18 | 32 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
CPC
1 - 1
ARR
53%
22%
24%
|
18 | 18 | 0 | 0 |
Matches
Guadiana
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Mar. 1998 |
GUA
1 - 1
VIL
13%
22%
65%
|
15 | 29 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Mar. 1998 |
COR
3 - 1
GUA
74%
18%
9%
|
16 | 20 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Mar. 1998 |
GUA
3 - 3
CDZ
27%
26%
47%
|
15 | 20 | 5 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 1998 |
MON
0 - 3
GUA
45%
26%
30%
|
14 | 11 | 3 | +1 |
| 15 Feb. 1998 |
GUA
1 - 1
CAS
35%
27%
37%
|
14 | 18 | 4 | 0 |