Arroyo vs Extremadura analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
67.7%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.9%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.5%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.2%
Win probability
0.82
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.3%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
DBN
1 - 1
ARR
23%
24%
53%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
ARR
5 - 0
CHI
86%
10%
4%
|
44 | 19 | 25 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
ARR
3 - 0
JER
73%
17%
10%
|
44 | 33 | 11 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
MIA
0 - 4
ARR
14%
21%
65%
|
43 | 28 | 15 | +1 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
VIL
1 - 2
ARR
9%
18%
73%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
Matches
Extremadura
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Feb. 2012 |
EXT
3 - 0
JER
57%
23%
20%
|
35 | 33 | 2 | 0 |
| 29 Jan. 2012 |
MIA
2 - 2
EXT
26%
27%
47%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 22 Jan. 2012 |
EXT
2 - 0
VIL
79%
14%
7%
|
35 | 20 | 15 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2012 |
VAL
0 - 0
EXT
17%
25%
58%
|
35 | 21 | 14 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2012 |
PLA
1 - 0
EXT
23%
26%
52%
|
37 | 24 | 13 | -2 |