Arroyo vs Diter Zafra analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
79.9%
Win probability
2.4
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.6%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.7%
5-0
3.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.5%
4-0
7.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.7%
3-0
12.8%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
17%
2-0
15.9%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23.2%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
7.9%
3-2
1.6%
4-3
0.2%
+1
22.8%
14.3%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
6.6%
2-2
1.9%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
14.3%
5.8%
Win probability
0.49
Expected goals
0-1
2.7%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.3%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.1%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
PLA
4 - 0
ARR
11%
19%
70%
|
43 | 20 | 23 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 1
MOR
77%
16%
7%
|
44 | 25 | 19 | -1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CPC
2 - 0
ARR
44%
27%
29%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
ARR
0 - 2
CAL
76%
16%
8%
|
46 | 26 | 20 | -1 |
| 29 May. 2016 |
ARR
2 - 1
AZU
63%
23%
14%
|
46 | 35 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Diter Zafra
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
CDZ
0 - 0
AMA
50%
24%
26%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2016 |
OLI
5 - 4
CDZ
59%
22%
19%
|
19 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
CDZ
0 - 2
VAL
44%
25%
31%
|
20 | 22 | 2 | -1 |
| 28 Aug. 2016 |
MON
1 - 2
CDZ
69%
18%
13%
|
20 | 26 | 6 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ARR
5 - 0
CDZ
82%
14%
5%
|
20 | 47 | 27 | 0 |