Arroyo vs Almería B analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
32.8%
Win probability
1.12
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.6%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.8%
3-0
2.2%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
+3
3%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.7%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
9.1%
1-0
10.4%
2-1
7.3%
3-2
1.7%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.6%
27.7%
Draw
0-0
9.2%
1-1
13.1%
2-2
4.6%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.7%
39.5%
Win probability
1.26
Expected goals
0-1
11.6%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
22.1%
0-2
7.3%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.6%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.3%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-15%
+70%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroyo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
RJA
5 - 0
ARR
72%
19%
9%
|
47 | 64 | 17 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 1
SRQ
54%
24%
22%
|
48 | 41 | 7 | -1 |
| 30 Aug. 2014 |
BET
1 - 0
ARR
36%
25%
39%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 0
SEV
46%
27%
27%
|
48 | 48 | 0 | 0 |
| 11 May. 2014 |
CRD
0 - 1
ARR
46%
27%
27%
|
47 | 50 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
Almería B
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
SRQ
3 - 2
ALM
24%
26%
50%
|
52 | 42 | 10 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 0
SEV
61%
23%
17%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
CPC
1 - 2
ALM
47%
27%
27%
|
50 | 51 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Aug. 2014 |
ALM
1 - 1
MEL
43%
26%
31%
|
50 | 54 | 4 | 0 |
| 10 May. 2014 |
ALM
2 - 3
MEL
46%
26%
28%
|
51 | 54 | 3 | -1 |