Arroceros de Calabozo vs Falcon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
48.1%
Win probability
1.68
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.7%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.2%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.8%
3-1
5.3%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.2%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.6%
24.1%
Draw
0-0
5.5%
1-1
11.3%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.1%
27.8%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
6.7%
1-2
6.9%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.8%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.7%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.7%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
GVA
1 - 0
ARR
36%
26%
39%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 06 Dec. 2014 |
ARR
0 - 1
MON
40%
26%
34%
|
49 | 55 | 6 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
ANG
0 - 1
ARR
43%
25%
32%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 1
DIA
38%
25%
37%
|
47 | 53 | 6 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
3 - 0
ARR
58%
23%
20%
|
48 | 53 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Falcon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 May. 2015 |
MIN
2 - 1
FAL
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 39 | 10 | 0 |
| 16 May. 2015 |
FAL
4 - 1
ATL
38%
26%
36%
|
47 | 51 | 4 | +2 |
| 10 May. 2015 |
FAL
2 - 1
MON
34%
27%
39%
|
46 | 53 | 7 | +1 |
| 03 May. 2015 |
MAR
1 - 0
FAL
49%
24%
27%
|
47 | 47 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
FAL
0 - 1
ESC
31%
26%
43%
|
47 | 57 | 10 | 0 |