Arroceros de Calabozo vs Estrella Roja analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
80.2%
Win probability
2.49
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.6%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3.9%
6-1
0.9%
7-2
0.1%
+5
4.8%
4-0
7.8%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
10.1%
3-0
12.5%
4-1
4.2%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
<0%
+3
17.3%
2-0
15.1%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
23%
1-0
12.1%
2-1
8%
3-2
1.8%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
13.8%
Draw
0-0
4.9%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
2.1%
3-3
0.3%
4-4
<0%
0
13.8%
6%
Win probability
0.53
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
1.7%
2-3
0.4%
3-4
0%
-1
4.7%
0-2
0.7%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
1%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arroceros de Calabozo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2011 |
ARA
2 - 2
ARR
27%
24%
49%
|
49 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2011 |
TUC
5 - 2
ARR
47%
23%
30%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | -2 |
| 01 Sep. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 1
TUC
57%
22%
21%
|
51 | 47 | 4 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2010 |
ARR
1 - 1
TUC
55%
22%
23%
|
51 | 48 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Estrella Roja
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 May. 2011 |
TUC
2 - 1
EST
84%
11%
5%
|
21 | 53 | 32 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2011 |
EST
1 - 8
CAR
12%
22%
66%
|
22 | 51 | 29 | -1 |
| 16 Apr. 2011 |
ITA
4 - 0
EST
82%
13%
6%
|
23 | 51 | 28 | -1 |
| 10 Apr. 2011 |
EST
2 - 3
MIN
31%
23%
46%
|
24 | 32 | 8 | -1 |
| 02 Apr. 2011 |
ATL
0 - 3
EST
53%
23%
23%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | +2 |