Arrifanense vs Argoncilhe analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
63.2%
Win probability
2.24
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.7%
6-1
0.7%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.5%
4-0
3.7%
5-1
1.8%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
6%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
4.1%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.9%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
2.2%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.9%
1-0
8%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
4%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.7%
19.4%
Draw
0-0
3.6%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.5%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.4%
17.4%
Win probability
1.09
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.1%
0-2
2.1%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-30%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arrifanense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
MOS
0 - 2
ARR
8%
16%
76%
|
21 | 7 | 14 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
MOS
42%
23%
34%
|
21 | 23 | 2 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
BRA
1 - 1
ARR
65%
19%
16%
|
21 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 1
RME
82%
12%
6%
|
22 | 11 | 11 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ROM
0 - 2
ARR
10%
17%
73%
|
21 | 9 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Argoncilhe
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Oct. 2014 |
ARG
2 - 0
CSJ
83%
12%
6%
|
17 | 7 | 10 | 0 |
| 19 Oct. 2014 |
SMA
0 - 2
ARG
15%
19%
66%
|
17 | 10 | 7 | 0 |
| 12 Oct. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 1
SAN
40%
24%
36%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 05 Oct. 2014 |
MAN
4 - 1
ARG
73%
16%
11%
|
18 | 25 | 7 | -1 |
| 28 Sep. 2014 |
ARG
1 - 0
LOB
76%
15%
10%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |