Arras vs Roye-Noyon analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46.6%
Win probability
1.47
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
4.2%
4-1
1.6%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
6.1%
2-0
8.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
14%
1-0
11.8%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.6%
26.2%
Draw
0-0
8%
1-1
12.4%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
26.2%
27.2%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
8.5%
1-2
6.6%
2-3
1.7%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
17%
0-2
4.5%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0%
-2
7.3%
0-3
1.6%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.3%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Aug. 2011 |
ARR
3 - 1
PAR
63%
21%
16%
|
37 | 27 | 10 | 0 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ARR
0 - 0
TRO
54%
24%
22%
|
38 | 32 | 6 | -1 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
ARR
4 - 0
VAL
34%
27%
39%
|
36 | 42 | 6 | +2 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
DOU
3 - 0
ARR
25%
26%
49%
|
39 | 22 | 17 | -3 |
| 21 May. 2011 |
ESW
0 - 0
ARR
45%
28%
28%
|
39 | 36 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Roye-Noyon
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 2011 |
ROY
1 - 0
IRI
38%
26%
36%
|
35 | 39 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 2011 |
RAC
3 - 5
ROY
63%
22%
16%
|
34 | 41 | 7 | +1 |
| 20 Aug. 2011 |
ROY
2 - 1
SAI
73%
18%
9%
|
34 | 22 | 12 | 0 |
| 04 Jun. 2011 |
CHA
0 - 2
ROY
68%
20%
12%
|
33 | 44 | 11 | +1 |
| 28 May. 2011 |
ROY
0 - 3
LES
61%
23%
16%
|
35 | 30 | 5 | -2 |