Arras vs QRM II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
77.1%
Win probability
2.6
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.6%
8-1
0.1%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.5%
7-1
0.4%
8-2
0.1%
+6
2%
5-0
3.5%
6-1
1.1%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
6.7%
5-1
2.6%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
9.8%
3-0
10.3%
4-1
5%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.1%
+3
16.4%
2-0
12%
3-1
7.7%
4-2
1.9%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.7%
1-0
9.2%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
2.9%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
21.4%
14.5%
Draw
0-0
3.5%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
14.5%
8.4%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
2.6%
1-2
2.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
6.1%
0-2
1%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
1.8%
0-3
0.2%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-17%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
BAS
0 - 2
ARR
33%
26%
40%
|
44 | 37 | 7 | 0 |
| 01 Mar. 2014 |
GRA
1 - 2
ARR
18%
24%
58%
|
44 | 28 | 16 | 0 |
| 26 Feb. 2014 |
ARR
3 - 0
AMI
73%
18%
10%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
| 22 Feb. 2014 |
ARR
1 - 2
SAI
65%
20%
15%
|
44 | 34 | 10 | -1 |
| 11 Jan. 2014 |
ARR
4 - 1
LEH
67%
19%
14%
|
43 | 33 | 10 | +1 |
Matches
QRM II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Mar. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 1
NOI
49%
24%
27%
|
27 | 32 | 5 | 0 |
| 23 Feb. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 0
QUE
47%
24%
29%
|
27 | 28 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2014 |
QUE
2 - 3
AMI
50%
23%
27%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | -1 |
| 01 Feb. 2014 |
GRA
4 - 0
QUE
42%
25%
33%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | -1 |
| 26 Jan. 2014 |
QUE
4 - 3
OIS
32%
24%
44%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +2 |