Arras vs Le Havre II analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
67.4%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
1.9%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.5%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.3%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.9%
2-0
11.5%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.4%
1-0
10.7%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.9%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
4.1%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13.5%
Win probability
0.85
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.8%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.4%
0-2
1.8%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3.1%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
-27%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
ARR
5 - 2
CAE
53%
24%
23%
|
42 | 38 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
UJA
0 - 0
ARR
36%
26%
38%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | -1 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 1
CAL
61%
23%
16%
|
43 | 37 | 6 | 0 |
| 10 Nov. 2013 |
QUE
4 - 5
ARR
25%
24%
51%
|
42 | 27 | 15 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
BAS
42%
25%
33%
|
41 | 41 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Le Havre II
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Dec. 2013 |
MAR
1 - 1
LEH
33%
26%
42%
|
34 | 29 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2013 |
LEH
1 - 1
NOI
59%
23%
18%
|
34 | 32 | 2 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2013 |
LEH
1 - 1
AMI
55%
24%
21%
|
34 | 33 | 1 | 0 |
| 23 Nov. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 2
LEH
37%
25%
38%
|
34 | 31 | 3 | 0 |
| 16 Nov. 2013 |
LEH
1 - 2
OIS
48%
25%
27%
|
35 | 36 | 1 | -1 |