Arras vs US Fleury-Merogis analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.8%
Win probability
1.39
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.5%
3-0
3%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.6%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.4%
1-0
9.3%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
2.6%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.7%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
5.6%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.7%
35.4%
Win probability
1.32
Expected goals
0-1
8.8%
1-2
8%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.7%
0-2
5.8%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.2%
0-3
2.5%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-1%
+1%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
2 - 0
FUR
61%
21%
18%
|
48 | 42 | 6 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 2
DRA
43%
27%
30%
|
49 | 53 | 4 | -1 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
POI
1 - 1
ARR
27%
25%
48%
|
49 | 43 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
ARR
0 - 1
AAC
70%
19%
12%
|
50 | 43 | 7 | -1 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
LEN
1 - 2
ARR
33%
25%
43%
|
49 | 46 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
US Fleury-Merogis
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Mar. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 1
LIL
60%
23%
18%
|
53 | 44 | 9 | 0 |
| 28 Mar. 2018 |
FLE
0 - 1
STG
50%
27%
23%
|
53 | 50 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Mar. 2018 |
FLE
1 - 2
FBB
49%
26%
25%
|
54 | 51 | 3 | -1 |
| 17 Mar. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 0
POI
60%
22%
17%
|
54 | 44 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Mar. 2018 |
FLE
2 - 1
VCH
66%
21%
14%
|
54 | 41 | 13 | 0 |