Arras vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
71.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
1%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5.2%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.9%
3-0
9.8%
4-1
3.5%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.8%
2-0
13.9%
3-1
6.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.7%
1-0
13.1%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
18.4%
Draw
0-0
6.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.5%
4-4
<0%
0
18.4%
10.3%
Win probability
0.66
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.7%
3-4
0.1%
-1
7.7%
0-2
1.4%
1-3
0.6%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.4%
0-4
0%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
DIE
0 - 0
ARR
22%
25%
54%
|
48 | 40 | 8 | 0 |
| 03 Dec. 2016 |
LEH
1 - 2
ARR
41%
25%
34%
|
48 | 46 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
3 - 2
SAN
35%
26%
39%
|
46 | 51 | 5 | +2 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
FLE
2 - 1
ARR
40%
26%
34%
|
46 | 47 | 1 | 0 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ARR
1 - 3
LIL
57%
23%
20%
|
48 | 44 | 4 | -2 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Dec. 2016 |
CAL
3 - 3
SML
25%
25%
50%
|
39 | 50 | 11 | 0 |
| 26 Nov. 2016 |
VCH
1 - 1
CAL
48%
27%
25%
|
40 | 40 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Nov. 2016 |
CAL
1 - 4
LEH
47%
26%
28%
|
42 | 43 | 1 | -2 |
| 05 Nov. 2016 |
ESW
0 - 0
CAL
48%
27%
25%
|
42 | 42 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2016 |
DIE
1 - 1
CAL
50%
27%
23%
|
42 | 44 | 2 | 0 |