Arras vs Calais analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.8%
Win probability
1.71
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
1.2%
4-0
2.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
+4
3.6%
3-0
6.5%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
9.1%
2-0
11.4%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
17.9%
1-0
13.3%
2-1
9.6%
3-2
2.3%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
25.5%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.2%
2-2
4%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
23.8%
18.4%
Win probability
0.84
Expected goals
0-1
6.6%
1-2
4.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.1%
-1
12.6%
0-2
2.8%
1-3
1.3%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
1.1%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 0
ARR
39%
27%
34%
|
43 | 40 | 3 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
ARR
1 - 0
ESW
64%
21%
15%
|
43 | 36 | 7 | 0 |
| 27 Apr. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 0
SED
39%
26%
35%
|
41 | 44 | 3 | +2 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
DIE
2 - 1
ARR
58%
24%
18%
|
41 | 49 | 8 | 0 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
AVI
68%
19%
13%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Calais
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 May. 2013 |
CAL
3 - 1
FEI
43%
25%
32%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 May. 2013 |
CAL
3 - 3
GRA
46%
25%
29%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Apr. 2013 |
ESW
3 - 2
CAL
52%
25%
23%
|
37 | 35 | 2 | -1 |
| 13 Apr. 2013 |
CAL
1 - 1
DIE
23%
24%
53%
|
36 | 49 | 13 | +1 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
SED
2 - 0
CAL
60%
23%
17%
|
37 | 41 | 4 | -1 |