Arras vs Avion analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
68%
Win probability
2.14
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.7%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.6%
4-0
4.6%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.4%
3-0
8.5%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
13%
2-0
12%
3-1
6.9%
4-2
1.5%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
11.2%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.1%
19.1%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
3.9%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.1%
13%
Win probability
0.81
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
3.7%
2-3
1.1%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.1%
0-2
1.7%
1-3
1%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
3%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Mar. 2013 |
BOU
1 - 1
ARR
29%
25%
46%
|
41 | 30 | 11 | 0 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
AUL
63%
20%
18%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
1 - 6
ARR
37%
27%
36%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | +2 |
| 02 Mar. 2013 |
ARR
3 - 1
AIL
79%
14%
7%
|
39 | 20 | 19 | 0 |
| 27 Feb. 2013 |
ARR
2 - 0
GRA
60%
22%
18%
|
39 | 34 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Avion
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Apr. 2013 |
AVI
0 - 1
GRA
38%
26%
36%
|
31 | 39 | 8 | 0 |
| 06 Apr. 2013 |
AVI
0 - 0
AIL
71%
17%
13%
|
31 | 22 | 9 | 0 |
| 31 Mar. 2013 |
AVI
0 - 1
CAL
46%
26%
28%
|
32 | 36 | 4 | -1 |
| 23 Mar. 2013 |
GRA
2 - 0
AVI
53%
23%
24%
|
33 | 39 | 6 | -1 |
| 10 Mar. 2013 |
AVI
2 - 3
ESW
51%
25%
24%
|
34 | 35 | 1 | -1 |