CEAC / Araruama vs Pérolas Negras analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
27.2%
Win probability
1.23
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.5%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.7%
3-0
1.6%
4-1
0.9%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
2.7%
2-0
3.9%
3-1
2.8%
4-2
0.7%
5-3
0.1%
+2
7.6%
1-0
6.4%
2-1
6.8%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
16%
23.6%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.6%
49.1%
Win probability
1.73
Expected goals
0-1
8.9%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
3.4%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.5%
0-2
7.7%
1-3
5.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
14.9%
0-3
4.5%
1-4
2.4%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
7.4%
0-4
1.9%
1-5
0.8%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
2.9%
0-5
0.7%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.9%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+39%
-4%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
CEAC / Araruama
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
CGA
0 - 2
ADC
50%
23%
26%
|
38 | 40 | 2 | 0 |
| 09 Oct. 2022 |
ADC
2 - 1
SER
28%
24%
49%
|
37 | 42 | 5 | +1 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
ANG
0 - 2
ADC
29%
22%
50%
|
36 | 29 | 7 | +1 |
| 28 Sep. 2022 |
ADC
0 - 0
DUQ
33%
24%
43%
|
36 | 41 | 5 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2022 |
SFC
0 - 1
ADC
43%
24%
33%
|
35 | 41 | 6 | +1 |
Matches
Pérolas Negras
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Oct. 2022 |
PER
5 - 2
CGA
51%
23%
26%
|
46 | 39 | 7 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2022 |
PER
1 - 0
PAD
42%
24%
34%
|
45 | 44 | 1 | +1 |
| 08 Oct. 2022 |
SAO
0 - 0
PER
29%
24%
47%
|
45 | 40 | 5 | 0 |
| 01 Oct. 2022 |
PER
3 - 0
CIG
60%
21%
19%
|
45 | 35 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Sep. 2022 |
RIO
1 - 0
PER
16%
19%
65%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | -1 |