Arrabaldo vs Paderne analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.68
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.7%
6-0
1.3%
7-1
0.5%
8-2
0.1%
+6
1.9%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.3%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.6%
4-0
5.6%
5-1
2.9%
6-2
0.6%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.2%
3-0
8.4%
4-1
5.4%
5-2
1.4%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
9.4%
3-1
8.1%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.6%
1-0
7%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
20.9%
15.2%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
6.8%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15.2%
11.1%
Win probability
0.97
Expected goals
0-1
2.5%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
7.5%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.7%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
-3
0.7%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-99%
-29%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arrabaldo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
AVI
8 - 2
ARR
29%
22%
50%
|
19 | 14 | 5 | 0 |
| 15 Sep. 2024 |
ARR
1 - 4
FRA
64%
18%
18%
|
20 | 17 | 3 | -1 |
| 07 Sep. 2024 |
RAL
4 - 2
ARR
16%
20%
64%
|
21 | 14 | 7 | -1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
ARR
1 - 2
COR
81%
12%
7%
|
22 | 14 | 8 | -1 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
AMO
1 - 2
ARR
11%
17%
71%
|
22 | 12 | 10 | 0 |
Matches
Paderne
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2024 |
PAD
2 - 5
ANT
41%
22%
37%
|
15 | 16 | 1 | 0 |
| 14 Sep. 2024 |
LPU
4 - 1
PAD
37%
23%
40%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | -2 |
| 08 Sep. 2024 |
PAD
1 - 1
TOE
31%
22%
47%
|
16 | 19 | 3 | +1 |
| 12 May. 2024 |
SOU
2 - 2
PAD
26%
23%
51%
|
17 | 12 | 5 | -1 |
| 04 May. 2024 |
PAD
0 - 1
VIL
86%
10%
4%
|
18 | 9 | 9 | -1 |