Arquillos CF vs Baeza CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.6%
Win probability
2.75
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.2%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.2%
7-0
0.5%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
0.8%
6-0
1.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
9-3
<0%
+6
2.1%
5-0
3%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.3%
8-3
<0%
+5
4.8%
4-0
5.5%
5-1
3.1%
6-2
0.7%
7-3
0.1%
+4
9.4%
3-0
8%
4-1
5.6%
5-2
1.6%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
15.4%
2-0
8.7%
3-1
8.2%
4-2
2.9%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
20.3%
1-0
6.3%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.2%
4-3
1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.5%
15%
Draw
0-0
2.3%
1-1
6.4%
2-2
4.5%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
15%
11.4%
Win probability
1.02
Expected goals
0-1
2.3%
1-2
3.3%
2-3
1.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0.1%
-1
7.6%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.4%
3-5
0.1%
-2
2.8%
0-3
0.4%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-87%
+138%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arquillos CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
LAG
2 - 1
ACF
24%
22%
55%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
ACF
2 - 0
UDG
76%
14%
10%
|
19 | 13 | 6 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CDA
0 - 1
ACF
30%
23%
48%
|
18 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
ACF
3 - 2
NAV
69%
17%
14%
|
17 | 13 | 4 | +1 |
| 15 May. 2016 |
ACF
2 - 0
BEA
58%
19%
22%
|
16 | 14 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Baeza CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Sep. 2016 |
UDG
5 - 0
BAE
31%
24%
45%
|
16 | 13 | 3 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2016 |
BAE
2 - 0
NAV
53%
21%
26%
|
14 | 14 | 0 | +2 |
| 11 Sep. 2016 |
CPH
0 - 2
BAE
20%
22%
58%
|
14 | 9 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Sep. 2016 |
BAE
3 - 1
CDV
26%
23%
51%
|
11 | 14 | 3 | +3 |
| 25 May. 2016 |
URG
2 - 1
BAE
67%
17%
16%
|
12 | 15 | 3 | -1 |