Arouca vs Marítimo analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
33.3%
Win probability
1.16
Expected goals
6-0
<0%
+6
<0%
5-0
0.2%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.2%
4-0
0.7%
5-1
0.2%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.9%
3-0
2.3%
4-1
0.8%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
3.2%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
2.9%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
0.1%
+2
9.3%
1-0
10.1%
2-1
7.5%
3-2
1.9%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.7%
27.3%
Draw
0-0
8.7%
1-1
12.9%
2-2
4.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
27.3%
39.4%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
11.2%
1-2
8.3%
2-3
2.1%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
21.8%
0-2
7.2%
1-3
3.6%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
11.5%
0-3
3.1%
1-4
1.1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
4.4%
0-4
1%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.3%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Dec. 2014 |
PAÇ
2 - 1
ARO
65%
20%
15%
|
72 | 80 | 8 | 0 |
| 07 Dec. 2014 |
ARO
0 - 1
PEN
59%
24%
17%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | -1 |
| 29 Nov. 2014 |
BEL
0 - 0
ARO
47%
27%
26%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 07 Nov. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 2
VIT
30%
28%
43%
|
72 | 81 | 9 | +1 |
| 02 Nov. 2014 |
GFC
1 - 1
ARO
46%
26%
28%
|
71 | 71 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Marítimo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
1 - 1
ORI
72%
18%
10%
|
78 | 60 | 18 | 0 |
| 14 Dec. 2014 |
MAR
0 - 0
EST
44%
27%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 08 Dec. 2014 |
NAC
3 - 0
MAR
47%
25%
28%
|
78 | 78 | 0 | 0 |
| 30 Nov. 2014 |
MAR
4 - 0
BOA
76%
17%
7%
|
78 | 58 | 20 | 0 |
| 22 Nov. 2014 |
ATL
0 - 2
MAR
15%
22%
63%
|
77 | 58 | 19 | +1 |