Arouca vs Porto analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
10.8%
Win probability
0.7
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.7%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.3%
1-0
4%
2-1
3.1%
3-2
0.8%
4-3
0.1%
+1
8%
18.3%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.3%
70.9%
Win probability
2.16
Expected goals
0-1
12.3%
1-2
9.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
24.4%
0-2
13.3%
1-3
6.7%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.1%
-2
21.5%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
3.6%
2-5
0.6%
3-6
0%
-3
13.8%
0-4
5.2%
1-5
1.6%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
6.9%
0-5
2.2%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.9%
0-6
0.8%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
1%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.3%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+19%
+5%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arouca
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31 Jan. 2022 |
FAM
0 - 0
ARO
52%
25%
23%
|
65 | 70 | 5 | 0 |
| 27 Jan. 2022 |
EST
1 - 2
ARO
54%
24%
22%
|
65 | 69 | 4 | 0 |
| 21 Jan. 2022 |
ARO
0 - 2
SLB
10%
17%
73%
|
65 | 88 | 23 | 0 |
| 09 Jan. 2022 |
BEL
2 - 1
ARO
37%
28%
35%
|
66 | 62 | 4 | -1 |
| 30 Dec. 2021 |
ARO
0 - 6
SPB
14%
21%
65%
|
66 | 83 | 17 | 0 |
Matches
Porto
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Jan. 2022 |
FCP
2 - 1
MAR
79%
14%
7%
|
88 | 68 | 20 | 0 |
| 23 Jan. 2022 |
FCP
3 - 1
FAM
76%
15%
9%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |
| 16 Jan. 2022 |
BEL
1 - 4
FCP
10%
18%
72%
|
88 | 62 | 26 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2022 |
VIZ
1 - 3
FCP
10%
19%
71%
|
88 | 67 | 21 | 0 |
| 08 Jan. 2022 |
EST
2 - 3
FCP
14%
20%
66%
|
88 | 70 | 18 | 0 |