Arosa vs UD Paiosaco analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
70.4%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.3%
6-0
0.8%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.9%
5-0
2.2%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.8%
4-0
5%
5-1
1.5%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.8%
3-0
9.5%
4-1
3.6%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
<0%
+3
13.6%
2-0
13.3%
3-1
6.7%
4-2
1.3%
5-3
0.1%
+2
21.4%
1-0
12.5%
2-1
9.4%
3-2
2.4%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.5%
18.6%
Draw
0-0
5.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
3.3%
3-3
0.6%
4-4
0.1%
0
18.6%
11.1%
Win probability
0.71
Expected goals
0-1
4.1%
1-2
3.1%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
8.1%
0-2
1.5%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.1%
3-5
0%
-2
2.3%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-34%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
2º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
58
1º
6º
2º
37
12º
16º
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
11º
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
1º
|
61 | 61 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
|
2º
|
58 | 58 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
56 | 56 |
3º
|
100% | |
|
4º
|
46 | 46 |
4º
|
100% | |
|
5º
|
45 | 45 |
5º
|
100% | |
|
6º
|
41 | 41 |
6º
|
0% | |
|
7º
|
41 | 41 |
7º
|
0% | |
|
8º
|
40 | 40 |
8º
|
100% | |
|
9º
|
39 | 39 |
9º
|
100% | |
|
10º
|
38 | 38 |
10º
|
100% | |
|
13º
|
37 | 37 |
11º
|
0% | |
|
12º
|
37 | 37 |
12º
|
100% | |
|
|
11º
|
37 | 37 |
13º
|
0% | |
|
15º
|
31 | 31 |
14º
|
100% | |
|
14º
|
31 | 31 |
15º
|
100% | |
|
16º
|
15 | 15 |
16º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
Promotion
|
0% | 0% |
|
Promotion play-offs
|
100% | 0% |
|
Mid-table
|
0% | 100% |
|
Relegation
|
0% | 0% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
BAR
0 - 1
ARO
31%
24%
45%
|
35 | 27 | 8 | 0 |
| 27 Aug. 2022 |
COX
5 - 1
ARO
67%
20%
13%
|
35 | 48 | 13 | 0 |
| 14 Aug. 2022 |
EST
1 - 1
ARO
25%
25%
50%
|
35 | 26 | 9 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ARO
1 - 1
BER
25%
28%
47%
|
35 | 43 | 8 | 0 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
LEG
3 - 0
ARO
52%
25%
23%
|
36 | 40 | 4 | -1 |
Matches
UD Paiosaco
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Sep. 2022 |
UPH
0 - 1
DEP
25%
25%
50%
|
21 | 31 | 10 | 0 |
| 29 May. 2022 |
SAR
3 - 2
UPH
47%
23%
30%
|
22 | 21 | 1 | -1 |
| 22 May. 2022 |
UPH
3 - 0
BET
60%
22%
18%
|
22 | 18 | 4 | 0 |
| 15 May. 2022 |
ATM
1 - 4
UPH
23%
24%
53%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | +1 |
| 08 May. 2022 |
UPH
2 - 0
LEM
65%
20%
15%
|
21 | 15 | 6 | 0 |