Arosa vs Céltiga FC analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
73.8%
Win probability
2.39
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.4%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.5%
6-0
1.1%
7-1
0.3%
8-2
<0%
+6
1.4%
5-0
2.8%
6-1
0.8%
7-2
0.1%
+5
3.8%
4-0
5.9%
5-1
2.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
8.4%
3-0
9.9%
4-1
4.4%
5-2
0.8%
6-3
0.1%
+3
15.2%
2-0
12.4%
3-1
7.4%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
21.6%
1-0
10.3%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.8%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.8%
16.3%
Draw
0-0
4.3%
1-1
7.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
16.3%
9.8%
Win probability
0.75
Expected goals
0-1
3.2%
1-2
2.9%
2-3
0.9%
3-4
0.1%
4-5
0%
-1
7.2%
0-2
1.2%
1-3
0.7%
2-4
0.2%
3-5
0%
-2
2.1%
0-3
0.3%
1-4
0.1%
2-5
0%
-3
0.5%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
+35%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
RIB
1 - 0
ARO
31%
25%
44%
|
33 | 25 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
ARO
3 - 1
DEP
30%
24%
46%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | +3 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
BAR
1 - 1
ARO
30%
26%
44%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
ARO
4 - 1
NEG
54%
23%
23%
|
29 | 29 | 0 | +2 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CER
2 - 0
ARO
53%
24%
23%
|
31 | 33 | 2 | -2 |
Matches
Céltiga FC
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12 Feb. 2017 |
CEL
2 - 0
BAR
36%
24%
40%
|
22 | 25 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 Feb. 2017 |
SIL
1 - 0
CEL
64%
20%
16%
|
23 | 27 | 4 | -1 |
| 29 Jan. 2017 |
CEL
0 - 1
BER
40%
26%
35%
|
24 | 28 | 4 | -1 |
| 22 Jan. 2017 |
COM
3 - 1
CEL
81%
13%
6%
|
24 | 38 | 14 | 0 |
| 15 Jan. 2017 |
CEL
3 - 1
DUB
62%
21%
17%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | +1 |