Arosa vs As Pontes analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
62.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.6%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.3%
4-0
3.6%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.7%
3-0
6.7%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
11.6%
2-0
9.3%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.1%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
18.8%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
9.9%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.7%
5-4
0.1%
+1
23%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
4%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.2%
3-3
1.3%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
17.6%
Win probability
1.06
Expected goals
0-1
4.2%
1-2
4.8%
2-3
1.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
11.3%
0-2
2.2%
1-3
1.7%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
4.5%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.5%
2-5
0.1%
3-6
0%
-3
1.4%
0-4
0.2%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-6%
-39%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
EST
0 - 1
ARO
30%
24%
46%
|
31 | 25 | 6 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARO
1 - 1
UDO
53%
22%
25%
|
31 | 28 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
POL
2 - 2
ARO
36%
24%
41%
|
31 | 26 | 5 | 0 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
BOU
2 - 2
ARO
40%
25%
35%
|
32 | 30 | 2 | -1 |
| 05 Jan. 2020 |
ARO
0 - 0
DEP
43%
25%
32%
|
31 | 34 | 3 | +1 |
Matches
As Pontes
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ASP
3 - 1
UPH
71%
16%
13%
|
23 | 20 | 3 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
ARZ
3 - 0
ASP
48%
22%
30%
|
24 | 24 | 0 | -1 |
| 19 Jan. 2020 |
ASP
1 - 0
RCV
44%
24%
32%
|
23 | 30 | 7 | +1 |
| 12 Jan. 2020 |
ASP
0 - 0
SIL
60%
20%
21%
|
23 | 23 | 0 | 0 |
| 04 Jan. 2020 |
SOM
1 - 2
ASP
40%
24%
36%
|
23 | 22 | 1 | 0 |