Arosa vs Arsenal CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
48%
Win probability
1.7
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.8%
5-1
0.8%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
4.3%
4-1
2.3%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7.1%
2-0
7.5%
3-1
5.4%
4-2
1.4%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
14.6%
1-0
8.8%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
3.4%
4-3
0.6%
5-4
0.1%
+1
22.3%
23.8%
Draw
0-0
5.2%
1-1
11.1%
2-2
5.9%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
23.8%
28.2%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
6.5%
1-2
7%
2-3
2.5%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
16.4%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
2.9%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.7%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.8%
0-4
0.5%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.8%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arosa
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
GRA
1 - 3
ARO
66%
18%
16%
|
22 | 22 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
CHO
4 - 1
ARO
73%
15%
12%
|
24 | 25 | 1 | -2 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ARO
1 - 2
ZEL
61%
20%
20%
|
24 | 23 | 1 | 0 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
COX
3 - 0
ARO
49%
23%
29%
|
26 | 21 | 5 | -2 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ARO
4 - 0
DEP
58%
21%
21%
|
25 | 25 | 0 | +1 |
Matches
Arsenal CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03 Sep. 1961 |
ACF
2 - 0
ATO
67%
18%
15%
|
27 | 23 | 4 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 1961 |
VIV
1 - 2
ACF
63%
19%
18%
|
27 | 27 | 0 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 1961 |
ACF
2 - 3
CHO
65%
19%
16%
|
28 | 24 | 4 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 1961 |
ZEL
2 - 1
ACF
51%
22%
27%
|
29 | 21 | 8 | -1 |
| 26 Mar. 1961 |
ACF
5 - 0
COX
73%
16%
11%
|
28 | 21 | 7 | +1 |