Charlottesville Alliance vs FC Frederick analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
46%
Win probability
1.96
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.7%
6-1
0.4%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.1%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
1.1%
6-2
0.3%
7-3
<0%
+4
3.1%
3-0
3.5%
4-1
2.8%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
7.3%
2-0
5.3%
3-1
5.7%
4-2
2.3%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
13.8%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.7%
3-2
4.6%
4-3
1.2%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.1%
21.7%
Draw
0-0
2.8%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
7%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
21.7%
32.3%
Win probability
1.62
Expected goals
0-1
4.5%
1-2
7.2%
2-3
3.8%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
16.7%
0-2
3.6%
1-3
3.9%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
9.4%
0-3
2%
1-4
1.6%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
4.1%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.5%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.5%
0-5
0.3%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.4%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Charlottesville Alliance
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
FRE
4 - 0
ARO
39%
22%
39%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | 0 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
ARO
0 - 1
VIL
85%
10%
5%
|
30 | 15 | 15 | -1 |
| 21 Jun. 2018 |
NVU
1 - 1
ARO
65%
18%
17%
|
29 | 35 | 6 | +1 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 1
VIR
40%
22%
38%
|
28 | 32 | 4 | +1 |
| 10 Jun. 2018 |
ARO
2 - 0
NVU
23%
20%
57%
|
25 | 36 | 11 | +3 |
Matches
FC Frederick
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Jul. 2018 |
FRE
4 - 0
ARO
39%
22%
39%
|
25 | 29 | 4 | 0 |
| 28 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 1
BAL
19%
19%
61%
|
26 | 38 | 12 | -1 |
| 24 Jun. 2018 |
VIR
0 - 3
FRE
66%
17%
16%
|
24 | 31 | 7 | +2 |
| 16 Jun. 2018 |
BAL
2 - 0
FRE
77%
14%
9%
|
25 | 37 | 12 | -1 |
| 13 Jun. 2018 |
FRE
0 - 1
NVU
30%
22%
49%
|
26 | 34 | 8 | -1 |