Arões vs Torcatense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
46.2%
Win probability
1.78
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
<0%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
0.1%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.3%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.3%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.9%
4-0
1.7%
5-1
0.9%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
2.8%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
2.4%
5-2
0.6%
6-3
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
6.5%
3-1
5.5%
4-2
1.7%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
14%
1-0
7.2%
2-1
9.2%
3-2
3.9%
4-3
0.8%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
4.1%
1-1
10.3%
2-2
6.5%
3-3
1.8%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
30.8%
Win probability
1.42
Expected goals
0-1
5.8%
1-2
7.3%
2-3
3.1%
3-4
0.7%
4-5
0.1%
-1
16.9%
0-2
4.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
1.1%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
8.8%
0-3
1.9%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
3.5%
0-4
0.7%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2014 |
AMA
1 - 2
ARO
21%
21%
58%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2014 |
ARO
2 - 0
JOA
26%
23%
51%
|
26 | 37 | 11 | +1 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AGU
3 - 3
ARO
14%
19%
67%
|
27 | 14 | 13 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
ARO
1 - 0
MAR
36%
24%
41%
|
26 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
Matches
Torcatense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2014 |
TOR
3 - 2
PDA
85%
11%
5%
|
29 | 12 | 17 | 0 |
| 07 Sep. 2014 |
SER
0 - 2
TOR
47%
24%
30%
|
29 | 30 | 1 | 0 |
| 31 Aug. 2014 |
AMA
2 - 1
TOR
17%
20%
63%
|
31 | 18 | 13 | -2 |
| 23 Aug. 2014 |
TOR
1 - 0
JOA
28%
23%
49%
|
30 | 40 | 10 | +1 |