Arões vs Oliveirense analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
20.3%
Win probability
0.9
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
+4
0.3%
3-0
0.9%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.3%
2-0
3.1%
3-1
1.6%
4-2
0.3%
5-3
<0%
+2
5%
1-0
7%
2-1
5.2%
3-2
1.3%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
13.6%
24.4%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.4%
55.3%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
0-1
12.9%
1-2
9.6%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
25.1%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
5.3%
2-4
1%
3-5
0.1%
-2
17%
0-3
5.9%
1-4
2.2%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
8.4%
0-4
2.4%
1-5
0.7%
2-6
0.1%
-4
3.3%
0-5
0.8%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
1%
0-6
0.2%
1-7
0%
-6
0.3%
0-7
0.1%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arões
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
FEL
1 - 0
ARO
59%
21%
20%
|
30 | 38 | 8 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 0
VAR
49%
23%
29%
|
30 | 27 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
4 - 3
MON
48%
23%
29%
|
29 | 25 | 4 | +1 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
1 - 1
ARO
72%
18%
10%
|
28 | 46 | 18 | +1 |
| 10 Apr. 2016 |
ARO
1 - 1
SMA
24%
23%
53%
|
27 | 39 | 12 | +1 |
Matches
Oliveirense
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08 May. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 0
MON
69%
20%
12%
|
46 | 25 | 21 | 0 |
| 30 Apr. 2016 |
TRO
0 - 3
ADO
48%
26%
26%
|
45 | 46 | 1 | +1 |
| 24 Apr. 2016 |
ADO
1 - 1
SMA
53%
24%
23%
|
45 | 39 | 6 | 0 |
| 17 Apr. 2016 |
TOR
1 - 1
ADO
25%
25%
50%
|
46 | 34 | 12 | -1 |
| 09 Apr. 2016 |
VAR
1 - 2
ADO
22%
24%
54%
|
45 | 28 | 17 | +1 |