Aroche CF vs Nerva CF analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
39%
Win probability
1.66
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.2%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
7-3
<0%
+4
2%
3-0
2.8%
4-1
1.9%
5-2
0.5%
6-3
0.1%
+3
5.3%
2-0
5.1%
3-1
4.6%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.3%
6-4
<0%
+2
11.6%
1-0
6.1%
2-1
8.3%
3-2
3.8%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
19.2%
23%
Draw
0-0
3.7%
1-1
10.1%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.1%
4-4
0.4%
5-5
<0%
0
23%
38%
Win probability
1.64
Expected goals
0-1
6.1%
1-2
8.2%
2-3
3.7%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
5-6
0%
-1
19%
0-2
5%
1-3
4.5%
2-4
1.5%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
11.3%
0-3
2.7%
1-4
1.8%
2-5
0.5%
3-6
0.1%
-3
5.1%
0-4
1.1%
1-5
0.6%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.9%
0-5
0.4%
1-6
0.2%
2-7
0%
-5
0.6%
0-6
0.1%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+4%
-88%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
CDH
3 - 1
ARO
61%
20%
19%
|
7 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
ARO
2 - 3
CDR
54%
21%
25%
|
7 | 7 | 0 | 0 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
CDC
4 - 0
ARO
81%
13%
7%
|
7 | 17 | 10 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
ARO
1 - 5
CDE
15%
19%
67%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | -2 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ATL
3 - 0
ARO
74%
17%
10%
|
9 | 15 | 6 | 0 |
Matches
Nerva CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Nov. 2012 |
NER
4 - 3
CDC
15%
21%
64%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | 0 |
| 11 Nov. 2012 |
CDE
4 - 1
NER
79%
14%
7%
|
10 | 17 | 7 | -1 |
| 04 Nov. 2012 |
NER
1 - 0
ATL
18%
23%
59%
|
9 | 17 | 8 | +1 |
| 28 Oct. 2012 |
RIO
1 - 1
NER
57%
22%
22%
|
9 | 10 | 1 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2012 |
NER
0 - 3
UDA
35%
23%
41%
|
9 | 11 | 2 | 0 |