Aroche CF vs Moguer CD analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
83.6%
Win probability
2.86
Expected goals
10-0
<0%
+10
<0%
9-0
0.1%
10-1
<0%
+9
0.1%
8-0
0.4%
9-1
0.1%
+8
0.4%
7-0
1%
8-1
0.2%
9-2
<0%
+7
1.2%
6-0
2.4%
7-1
0.6%
8-2
0.1%
+6
3%
5-0
5%
6-1
1.4%
7-2
0.2%
8-3
<0%
+5
6.7%
4-0
8.8%
5-1
3%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
12.3%
3-0
12.3%
4-1
5.2%
5-2
0.9%
6-3
0.1%
+3
18.5%
2-0
12.9%
3-1
7.3%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
22%
1-0
9%
2-1
7.7%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
19.2%
11.3%
Draw
0-0
3.2%
1-1
5.4%
2-2
2.3%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
11.3%
5.1%
Win probability
0.59
Expected goals
0-1
1.9%
1-2
1.6%
2-3
0.5%
3-4
0.1%
-1
4%
0-2
0.6%
1-3
0.3%
2-4
0.1%
-2
0.9%
0-3
0.1%
1-4
0%
-3
0.2%
0-4
0%
-4
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-12%
+91%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Aroche CF
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
AYA
0 - 3
ARO
47%
23%
31%
|
16 | 16 | 0 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
ARO
3 - 2
OCF
73%
16%
11%
|
16 | 11 | 5 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
THA
0 - 3
ARO
14%
19%
67%
|
16 | 9 | 7 | 0 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
CDP
1 - 3
ARO
52%
22%
26%
|
15 | 15 | 0 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
ARO
2 - 1
LOS
74%
16%
10%
|
15 | 11 | 4 | 0 |
Matches
Moguer CD
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Jan. 2018 |
MOG
1 - 2
BOL
20%
20%
60%
|
10 | 15 | 5 | 0 |
| 07 Jan. 2018 |
CRU
2 - 2
MOG
38%
25%
37%
|
10 | 9 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Dec. 2017 |
MOG
0 - 1
CDC
41%
23%
35%
|
11 | 12 | 1 | -1 |
| 10 Dec. 2017 |
MOG
2 - 1
COR
22%
21%
57%
|
10 | 14 | 4 | +1 |
| 06 Dec. 2017 |
CDF
0 - 1
MOG
32%
24%
45%
|
9 | 6 | 3 | +1 |