At. Arnoia vs Gran Peña analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
60.3%
Win probability
2.21
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.5%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.2%
4-0
3.3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
<0%
+4
5.5%
3-0
5.9%
4-1
3.9%
5-2
1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
11.1%
2-0
8.1%
3-1
7.1%
4-2
2.4%
5-3
0.4%
6-4
<0%
+2
18%
1-0
7.3%
2-1
9.7%
3-2
4.3%
4-3
0.9%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22.3%
19.9%
Draw
0-0
3.3%
1-1
8.8%
2-2
5.8%
3-3
1.7%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
19.9%
19.8%
Win probability
1.2
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.3%
2-3
2.3%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.1%
0-2
2.4%
1-3
2.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
5.3%
0-3
0.9%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
1.8%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+6%
-44%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
At. Arnoia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
BAR
3 - 1
ARN
55%
23%
22%
|
18 | 20 | 2 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
ARN
2 - 1
CDV
86%
9%
5%
|
17 | 11 | 6 | +1 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
SAN
0 - 1
ARN
47%
23%
29%
|
17 | 17 | 0 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
ARN
2 - 2
MOA
44%
23%
34%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
CUL
2 - 1
ARN
63%
19%
18%
|
17 | 19 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Gran Peña
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01 Mar. 2020 |
GRA
4 - 1
BEL
54%
22%
24%
|
16 | 15 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Feb. 2020 |
POR
0 - 2
GRA
71%
17%
12%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | +2 |
| 09 Feb. 2020 |
GRA
3 - 2
VEL
37%
25%
38%
|
13 | 16 | 3 | +1 |
| 02 Feb. 2020 |
VIL
0 - 1
GRA
82%
13%
5%
|
12 | 22 | 10 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2020 |
GRA
0 - 1
POR
45%
23%
32%
|
12 | 13 | 1 | 0 |