Arnedo vs Numancia analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
51.2%
Win probability
1.53
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
5.1%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
10%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.6%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.8%
25.8%
Draw
0-0
8.5%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.8%
23%
Win probability
0.93
Expected goals
0-1
7.9%
1-2
5.7%
2-3
1.3%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.1%
0-2
3.7%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
5.8%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.6%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.3%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-28%
-13%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arnedo
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
SDA
4 - 1
ARN
51%
26%
22%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
ARN
3 - 1
CHA
70%
19%
11%
|
25 | 19 | 6 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
PEÑ
1 - 1
ARN
55%
25%
20%
|
26 | 23 | 3 | -1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
ARN
2 - 0
BUR
74%
17%
8%
|
25 | 18 | 7 | +1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
ALF
3 - 0
ARN
45%
29%
27%
|
27 | 22 | 5 | -2 |
Matches
Numancia
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 09 Oct. 1983 |
CHA
2 - 2
NUM
44%
26%
30%
|
27 | 18 | 9 | 0 |
| 02 Oct. 1983 |
NUM
3 - 0
BUR
86%
10%
4%
|
26 | 17 | 9 | +1 |
| 25 Sep. 1983 |
CDC
2 - 5
NUM
51%
26%
24%
|
25 | 22 | 3 | +1 |
| 18 Sep. 1983 |
NUM
1 - 1
CLH
74%
16%
9%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | -1 |
| 11 Sep. 1983 |
ATL
1 - 1
NUM
57%
23%
20%
|
26 | 22 | 4 | 0 |