Arminia Bielefeld vs Wolfsburg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
16.5%
Win probability
0.95
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
6-1
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.2%
3-0
0.7%
4-1
0.3%
5-2
0.1%
+3
1.1%
2-0
2.2%
3-1
1.4%
4-2
0.4%
5-3
<0%
+2
4.1%
1-0
4.7%
2-1
4.6%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
11%
20.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.7%
2-2
4.7%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
20.5%
63%
Win probability
2.06
Expected goals
0-1
10.2%
1-2
9.9%
2-3
3.2%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0.1%
-1
23.9%
0-2
10.5%
1-3
6.8%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
19.2%
0-3
7.2%
1-4
3.5%
2-5
0.7%
3-6
0.1%
-3
11.5%
0-4
3.7%
1-5
1.4%
2-6
0.2%
3-7
0%
-4
5.4%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.5%
2-7
0.1%
-5
2.1%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
2-8
0%
-6
0.7%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Apr. 2015 |
ERF
0 - 4
ARB
23%
25%
52%
|
72 | 60 | 12 | 0 |
| 18 Apr. 2015 |
ARB
2 - 1
PRE
61%
23%
17%
|
71 | 65 | 6 | +1 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
SGD
2 - 0
ARB
30%
27%
44%
|
73 | 65 | 8 | -2 |
| 08 Apr. 2015 |
ARB
1 - 1
MON
22%
24%
54%
|
72 | 87 | 15 | +1 |
| 04 Apr. 2015 |
ARB
3 - 0
COT
62%
22%
16%
|
72 | 65 | 7 | 0 |
Matches
Wolfsburg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26 Apr. 2015 |
MON
1 - 0
WOL
42%
24%
34%
|
87 | 87 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Apr. 2015 |
NAP
2 - 2
WOL
57%
22%
22%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 19 Apr. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 1
S04
44%
24%
32%
|
87 | 88 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Apr. 2015 |
WOL
1 - 4
NAP
45%
25%
30%
|
87 | 89 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Apr. 2015 |
HSV
0 - 2
WOL
19%
23%
58%
|
87 | 80 | 7 | 0 |