Arminia Bielefeld vs Wattenscheid 09 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
66.3%
Win probability
2.13
Expected goals
9-0
<0%
+9
<0%
8-0
0.1%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.2%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.6%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.8%
5-0
1.8%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
+5
2.5%
4-0
4.3%
5-1
1.6%
6-2
0.2%
7-3
<0%
+4
6.1%
3-0
8%
4-1
3.7%
5-2
0.7%
6-3
0.1%
+3
12.5%
2-0
11.3%
3-1
7%
4-2
1.6%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
20.1%
1-0
10.6%
2-1
9.8%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
24%
19.5%
Draw
0-0
5%
1-1
9.2%
2-2
4.3%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
0
19.5%
14.2%
Win probability
0.87
Expected goals
0-1
4.3%
1-2
4%
2-3
1.2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
9.8%
0-2
1.9%
1-3
1.2%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
3.4%
0-3
0.5%
1-4
0.3%
2-5
0%
-3
0.8%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 18 Sep. 1998 |
ROT
1 - 5
ARB
22%
26%
51%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1998 |
ARB
2 - 0
COT
59%
22%
19%
|
77 | 73 | 4 | +1 |
| 29 Aug. 1998 |
IDA
0 - 1
ARB
11%
19%
71%
|
77 | 44 | 33 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 1998 |
STP
1 - 2
ARB
42%
26%
32%
|
77 | 76 | 1 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
ARB
1 - 0
M05
53%
23%
24%
|
77 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
Matches
Wattenscheid 09
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19 Sep. 1998 |
F95
1 - 1
WAT
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 73 | 5 | 0 |
| 11 Sep. 1998 |
WAT
0 - 0
KÖL
49%
24%
27%
|
68 | 69 | 1 | 0 |
| 28 Aug. 1998 |
OFC
0 - 1
WAT
34%
25%
42%
|
67 | 54 | 13 | +1 |
| 23 Aug. 1998 |
ROT
1 - 0
WAT
36%
27%
37%
|
68 | 61 | 7 | -1 |
| 16 Aug. 1998 |
WAT
1 - 1
COT
48%
25%
28%
|
68 | 71 | 3 | 0 |