Arminia Bielefeld vs Schalke 04 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
57.9%
Win probability
2.19
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
9-1
<0%
+8
0.1%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
0.1%
+7
0.2%
6-0
0.5%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.7%
5-0
1.3%
6-1
0.6%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
2.1%
4-0
3%
5-1
1.7%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
5.1%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
3.8%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
10.5%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
7%
4-2
2.5%
5-3
0.5%
6-4
0.1%
+2
17.3%
1-0
6.7%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
4.5%
4-3
1.1%
5-4
0.1%
6-5
<0%
+1
22%
20.2%
Draw
0-0
3.1%
1-1
8.7%
2-2
6.1%
3-3
1.9%
4-4
0.3%
5-5
<0%
0
20.2%
21.8%
Win probability
1.29
Expected goals
0-1
4%
1-2
5.6%
2-3
2.6%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
12.9%
0-2
2.6%
1-3
2.4%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.1%
1-4
0.8%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.6%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
ARB
0 - 2
LEV
65%
20%
15%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
S04
2 - 2
ARB
49%
22%
29%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
ARB
5 - 1
KSC
59%
22%
20%
|
79 | 76 | 3 | +1 |
| 04 Dec. 1982 |
F95
2 - 0
ARB
55%
22%
23%
|
80 | 78 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
ARB
1 - 2
BRE
45%
24%
31%
|
80 | 83 | 3 | 0 |
Matches
Schalke 04
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Jan. 1983 |
MON
0 - 0
S04
71%
17%
12%
|
78 | 83 | 5 | 0 |
| 18 Dec. 1982 |
S04
2 - 2
ARB
49%
22%
29%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 11 Dec. 1982 |
HSV
6 - 2
S04
82%
12%
7%
|
78 | 89 | 11 | 0 |
| 05 Dec. 1982 |
S04
1 - 2
BYM
27%
24%
49%
|
78 | 88 | 10 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 1982 |
BOC
2 - 1
S04
53%
24%
23%
|
79 | 80 | 1 | -1 |