Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
50.6%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.7%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.5%
3-0
5%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7%
2-0
9.8%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
0.8%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
13%
2-1
9.3%
3-2
2.2%
4-3
0.3%
5-4
<0%
+1
24.7%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
8.6%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
4.4%
3-3
0.7%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
23.5%
Win probability
0.94
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
5.8%
2-3
1.4%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
15.4%
0-2
3.8%
1-3
1.8%
2-4
0.3%
3-5
0%
-2
6%
0-3
1.2%
1-4
0.4%
2-5
0.1%
-3
1.7%
0-4
0.3%
1-5
0.1%
-4
0.4%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-9%
-15%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
ARB
2 - 2
WAT
50%
25%
25%
|
68 | 67 | 1 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
BVB
2 - 2
ARB
61%
22%
17%
|
68 | 70 | 2 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
ARB
1 - 0
AAA
75%
17%
8%
|
68 | 55 | 13 | 0 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
ARB
2 - 1
FCM
76%
17%
8%
|
67 | 55 | 12 | +1 |
| 21 Dec. 1975 |
WUP
1 - 4
ARB
63%
21%
16%
|
66 | 68 | 2 | +1 |
Matches
Fortuna Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Feb. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 1
WHE
85%
11%
4%
|
68 | 52 | 16 | 0 |
| 07 Feb. 1976 |
SWE
1 - 1
KÖL
55%
24%
21%
|
68 | 68 | 0 | 0 |
| 24 Jan. 1976 |
KÖL
3 - 0
LEV
87%
10%
3%
|
68 | 49 | 19 | 0 |
| 17 Jan. 1976 |
STP
2 - 1
KÖL
57%
23%
20%
|
69 | 66 | 3 | -1 |
| 27 Dec. 1975 |
PRE
2 - 1
KÖL
51%
25%
24%
|
69 | 64 | 5 | 0 |