Arminia Bielefeld vs Fortuna Düsseldorf analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
41.5%
Win probability
1.52
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.3%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.3%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.4%
2-0
6.6%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.2%
6-4
<0%
+2
12.4%
1-0
8.6%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
0.1%
+1
21.1%
24.8%
Draw
0-0
5.7%
1-1
11.6%
2-2
6%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.8%
33.7%
Win probability
1.35
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.8%
2-3
2.7%
3-4
0.5%
4-5
0%
-1
18.7%
0-2
5.1%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
4-6
0%
-2
9.7%
0-3
2.3%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.8%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0.1%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+32%
-8%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30 Sep. 2017 |
FCN
1 - 2
ARB
50%
24%
26%
|
72 | 75 | 3 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
ARB
1 - 1
HEI
51%
25%
25%
|
72 | 72 | 0 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
SGD
0 - 2
ARB
49%
24%
27%
|
71 | 74 | 3 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
DAR
4 - 3
ARB
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | -1 |
| 09 Sep. 2017 |
ARB
0 - 4
MSV
59%
23%
18%
|
72 | 67 | 5 | 0 |
Matches
Fortuna Düsseldorf
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02 Oct. 2017 |
F95
3 - 1
MSV
57%
24%
19%
|
73 | 67 | 6 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2017 |
STP
1 - 2
F95
42%
25%
33%
|
73 | 74 | 1 | 0 |
| 20 Sep. 2017 |
F95
1 - 0
SSV
50%
25%
25%
|
72 | 70 | 2 | +1 |
| 17 Sep. 2017 |
SGF
3 - 1
F95
36%
26%
39%
|
73 | 70 | 3 | -1 |
| 10 Sep. 2017 |
F95
3 - 2
FCU
31%
25%
44%
|
72 | 77 | 5 | +1 |