Arminia Bielefeld vs Nürnberg analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
49.7%
Win probability
1.6
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.2%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.6%
6-1
0.2%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.8%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.7%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.6%
3-0
4.7%
4-1
2%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
7.2%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
5.1%
4-2
1.1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
15.2%
1-0
11.1%
2-1
9.5%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
23.7%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6.9%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.1%
3-3
1%
4-4
0.1%
0
24.9%
25.4%
Win probability
1.07
Expected goals
0-1
7.4%
1-2
6.3%
2-3
1.8%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
15.8%
0-2
4%
1-3
2.3%
2-4
0.5%
3-5
0.1%
-2
6.8%
0-3
1.4%
1-4
0.6%
2-5
0.1%
-3
2.1%
0-4
0.4%
1-5
0.1%
2-6
0%
-4
0.5%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.1%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
-3%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
STP
2 - 0
ARB
23%
24%
53%
|
81 | 71 | 10 | 0 |
| 18 Sep. 2000 |
ARB
1 - 1
AAA
70%
19%
12%
|
81 | 66 | 15 | 0 |
| 08 Sep. 2000 |
M05
2 - 4
ARB
27%
25%
48%
|
80 | 73 | 7 | +1 |
| 05 Sep. 2000 |
ARB
2 - 0
ROT
65%
21%
14%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
TEN
1 - 3
ARB
29%
24%
47%
|
80 | 69 | 11 | 0 |
Matches
Nürnberg
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22 Sep. 2000 |
FCN
3 - 1
MSV
45%
25%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 17 Sep. 2000 |
SVS
0 - 2
FCN
34%
26%
40%
|
78 | 67 | 11 | 0 |
| 09 Sep. 2000 |
FCN
2 - 0
REU
71%
18%
11%
|
78 | 62 | 16 | 0 |
| 06 Sep. 2000 |
WAL
1 - 4
FCN
33%
26%
41%
|
77 | 65 | 12 | +1 |
| 25 Aug. 2000 |
HAL
0 - 5
FCN
18%
23%
59%
|
77 | 37 | 40 | 0 |