Arminia Bielefeld vs Bayern München analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
12.7%
Win probability
0.68
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.1%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1.8%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.1%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.7%
1-0
5.3%
2-1
3.3%
3-2
0.7%
4-3
0.1%
+1
9.4%
21.3%
Draw
0-0
7.8%
1-1
9.9%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
21.3%
66%
Win probability
1.88
Expected goals
0-1
14.6%
1-2
9.3%
2-3
2%
3-4
0.2%
4-5
0%
-1
26%
0-2
13.7%
1-3
5.8%
2-4
0.9%
3-5
0.1%
-2
20.5%
0-3
8.6%
1-4
2.7%
2-5
0.3%
3-6
0%
-3
11.7%
0-4
4%
1-5
1%
2-6
0.1%
-4
5.2%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.3%
2-7
0%
-5
1.9%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.1%
-6
0.6%
0-7
0.1%
1-8
0%
-7
0.1%
0-8
0%
-8
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+26%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
EIN
3 - 0
ARB
49%
25%
26%
|
80 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 30 Oct. 2005 |
ARB
4 - 1
HAN
43%
26%
31%
|
80 | 81 | 1 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
ARB
2 - 1
COT
59%
22%
19%
|
80 | 72 | 8 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
FCN
2 - 3
ARB
45%
26%
29%
|
80 | 77 | 3 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2005 |
ARB
3 - 0
HER
27%
27%
46%
|
79 | 87 | 8 | +1 |
Matches
Bayern München
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 05 Nov. 2005 |
BYM
3 - 1
BRE
60%
21%
19%
|
93 | 89 | 4 | 0 |
| 02 Nov. 2005 |
JUV
2 - 1
BYM
45%
26%
30%
|
93 | 93 | 0 | 0 |
| 29 Oct. 2005 |
KOL
1 - 2
BYM
12%
21%
67%
|
93 | 76 | 17 | 0 |
| 26 Oct. 2005 |
ERZ
0 - 1
BYM
10%
21%
70%
|
93 | 70 | 23 | 0 |
| 22 Oct. 2005 |
BYM
4 - 0
MSV
82%
13%
6%
|
93 | 74 | 19 | 0 |