Arminia Bielefeld vs Alemannia Aachen analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
38.5%
Win probability
1.37
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.3%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.4%
4-0
1%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.4%
3-0
2.9%
4-1
1.3%
5-2
0.2%
6-3
<0%
+3
4.5%
2-0
6.4%
3-1
3.9%
4-2
0.9%
5-3
0.1%
+2
11.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
8.4%
3-2
2.5%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
20.8%
25.9%
Draw
0-0
6.8%
1-1
12.3%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.9%
35.6%
Win probability
1.31
Expected goals
0-1
9%
1-2
8.1%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
19.8%
0-2
5.9%
1-3
3.5%
2-4
0.8%
3-5
0.1%
-2
10.3%
0-3
2.6%
1-4
1.2%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.9%
0-4
0.8%
1-5
0.3%
2-6
0%
-4
1.2%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+34%
+9%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
ARB
1 - 0
M05
43%
27%
30%
|
78 | 79 | 1 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2006 |
FCN
1 - 1
ARB
57%
24%
19%
|
77 | 81 | 4 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
ARB
3 - 1
COT
52%
26%
22%
|
77 | 74 | 3 | 0 |
| 24 Sep. 2006 |
BOC
2 - 1
ARB
56%
24%
20%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | -1 |
| 16 Sep. 2006 |
ARB
2 - 1
BYM
13%
22%
66%
|
77 | 92 | 15 | +1 |
Matches
Alemannia Aachen
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25 Oct. 2006 |
AAA
4 - 2
ERZ
62%
21%
17%
|
78 | 69 | 9 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2006 |
AAA
1 - 2
COT
58%
23%
18%
|
79 | 72 | 7 | -1 |
| 13 Oct. 2006 |
M05
1 - 3
AAA
48%
24%
28%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | +1 |
| 30 Sep. 2006 |
AAA
2 - 1
BOC
41%
26%
34%
|
78 | 80 | 2 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2006 |
BYM
2 - 1
AAA
75%
16%
9%
|
78 | 92 | 14 | 0 |