Arminia Bielefeld vs Köln analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
43.4%
Win probability
1.49
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.4%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.5%
4-0
1.4%
5-1
0.5%
6-2
0.1%
+4
1.9%
3-0
3.7%
4-1
1.7%
5-2
0.3%
6-3
<0%
+3
5.7%
2-0
7.4%
3-1
4.5%
4-2
1%
5-3
0.1%
+2
13%
1-0
10%
2-1
9%
3-2
2.7%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
22.1%
25.5%
Draw
0-0
6.7%
1-1
12.1%
2-2
5.5%
3-3
1.1%
4-4
0.1%
0
25.5%
31%
Win probability
1.22
Expected goals
0-1
8.1%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.2%
3-4
0.3%
4-5
0%
-1
18.1%
0-2
5%
1-3
3%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
0.9%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.1%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.1%
1-6
0%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+24%
+7%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Sep. 2008 |
BOC
2 - 0
ARB
58%
22%
20%
|
75 | 79 | 4 | 0 |
| 30 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 4
HSV
27%
28%
45%
|
76 | 86 | 10 | -1 |
| 23 Aug. 2008 |
HER
1 - 1
ARB
59%
23%
18%
|
76 | 82 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
ARB
2 - 2
BRE
16%
21%
63%
|
75 | 88 | 13 | +1 |
| 10 Aug. 2008 |
ASV
1 - 2
ARB
14%
19%
67%
|
75 | 30 | 45 | 0 |
Matches
Köln
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13 Sep. 2008 |
KOL
0 - 3
BYM
17%
22%
62%
|
73 | 90 | 17 | 0 |
| 29 Aug. 2008 |
KSC
0 - 2
KOL
47%
25%
28%
|
73 | 75 | 2 | 0 |
| 24 Aug. 2008 |
KOL
1 - 1
EIN
39%
26%
36%
|
73 | 79 | 6 | 0 |
| 16 Aug. 2008 |
WOL
2 - 1
KOL
55%
23%
21%
|
73 | 82 | 9 | 0 |
| 07 Aug. 2008 |
ZWE
1 - 5
KOL
8%
14%
78%
|
73 | 37 | 36 | 0 |