Arminia Bielefeld U19 vs VfL Bochum U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
18.4%
Win probability
1.11
Expected goals
5-0
0.1%
6-1
<0%
+5
0.1%
4-0
0.2%
5-1
0.1%
6-2
<0%
+4
0.4%
3-0
0.8%
4-1
0.5%
5-2
0.1%
6-3
<0%
+3
1.5%
2-0
2.3%
3-1
1.8%
4-2
0.6%
5-3
0.1%
+2
4.8%
1-0
4.2%
2-1
5%
3-2
2%
4-3
0.4%
5-4
<0%
+1
11.6%
20%
Draw
0-0
3.8%
1-1
9.1%
2-2
5.4%
3-3
1.4%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
20%
61.6%
Win probability
2.17
Expected goals
0-1
8.2%
1-2
9.8%
2-3
3.9%
3-4
0.8%
4-5
0.1%
-1
22.9%
0-2
8.9%
1-3
7.1%
2-4
2.1%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
18.5%
0-3
6.4%
1-4
3.9%
2-5
0.9%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
11.4%
0-4
3.5%
1-5
1.7%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
5.5%
0-5
1.5%
1-6
0.6%
2-7
0.1%
3-8
0%
-5
2.2%
0-6
0.5%
1-7
0.2%
2-8
0%
-6
0.8%
0-7
0.2%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.2%
0-8
0%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
+131%
+142%
Points and table prediction
Their league position
CURR.POS.
5º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
17
4º
8º
5º
33
1º
3º
1º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
1º
Expected position in the table
| Current table | Final expectations | |||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| RK | PTS. | PTS. | RK | PROB | ||
|
|
1º
|
33 | 33 |
1º
|
100% | |
|
2º
|
30 | 33 |
2º
|
100% | |
|
3º
|
19 | 22 |
3º
|
79.5% | |
|
4º
|
18 | 21 |
4º
|
81% | |
|
|
5º
|
17 | 17 |
5º
|
76.5% | |
|
6º
|
14 | 14 |
6º
|
88.5% | |
|
7º
|
12 | 12 |
7º
|
100% | |
|
8º
|
7 | 7 |
8º
|
100% | |
| Expected probabilities | ||
|---|---|---|
|
|
|
|
|
|
100% | 100% |
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Arminia Bielefeld U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
SCP
0 - 0
ARM
84%
11%
5%
|
14 | 28 | 14 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
ARM
1 - 0
RWE
18%
21%
61%
|
13 | 21 | 8 | +1 |
| 03 Aug. 2024 |
WBR
6 - 2
ARM
87%
9%
4%
|
14 | 25 | 11 | -1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
ARM
0 - 1
ALA
35%
21%
44%
|
14 | 17 | 3 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
ARM
2 - 1
WUP
50%
22%
28%
|
14 | 13 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
VfL Bochum U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 14 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
5 - 2
EIN
50%
22%
28%
|
21 | 21 | 0 | 0 |
| 10 Aug. 2024 |
OSN
0 - 2
BOC
48%
22%
30%
|
20 | 20 | 0 | +1 |
| 04 Aug. 2024 |
BOC
2 - 1
HAN
15%
18%
66%
|
19 | 30 | 11 | +1 |
| 11 May. 2024 |
SCV
1 - 3
BOC
16%
18%
66%
|
19 | 11 | 8 | 0 |
| 05 May. 2024 |
BOC
0 - 4
DUI
45%
23%
32%
|
19 | 20 | 1 | 0 |