Armenia U19 vs Serbia U19 analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
11.1%
Win probability
0.79
Expected goals
5-0
<0%
+5
<0%
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.4%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.6%
2-0
1.4%
3-1
0.9%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.5%
1-0
3.5%
2-1
3.2%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
7.9%
17.2%
Draw
0-0
4.4%
1-1
8.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-3
0.8%
4-4
0.1%
0
17.2%
71.7%
Win probability
2.33
Expected goals
0-1
10.3%
1-2
9.5%
2-3
2.9%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
23.2%
0-2
12%
1-3
7.3%
2-4
1.7%
3-5
0.2%
4-6
0%
-2
21.2%
0-3
9.3%
1-4
4.3%
2-5
0.8%
3-6
0.1%
-3
14.4%
0-4
5.4%
1-5
2%
2-6
0.3%
3-7
0%
-4
7.7%
0-5
2.5%
1-6
0.8%
2-7
0.1%
-5
3.4%
0-6
1%
1-7
0.3%
2-8
0%
-6
1.3%
0-7
0.3%
1-8
0.1%
-7
0.4%
0-8
0.1%
1-9
0%
-8
0.1%
0-9
0%
-9
<0%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armenia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
ITA
3 - 0
ARM
76%
16%
9%
|
44 | 61 | 17 | 0 |
| 15 Oct. 2013 |
LTU
1 - 0
ARM
36%
25%
40%
|
45 | 37 | 8 | -1 |
| 12 Oct. 2013 |
ARM
1 - 0
POL
29%
25%
47%
|
43 | 54 | 11 | +2 |
| 10 Oct. 2013 |
ROU
1 - 1
ARM
65%
20%
15%
|
43 | 53 | 10 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2012 |
ROU
1 - 0
ARM
64%
20%
16%
|
43 | 52 | 9 | 0 |
Matches
Serbia U19
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 10 Oct. 2014 |
SRB
4 - 0
SMR
81%
13%
5%
|
68 | 24 | 44 | 0 |
| 28 Jul. 2014 |
POR
0 - 0
SRB
55%
22%
23%
|
67 | 71 | 4 | +1 |
| 25 Jul. 2014 |
SRB
1 - 0
BGR
76%
16%
8%
|
67 | 49 | 18 | 0 |
| 22 Jul. 2014 |
GER
2 - 2
SRB
52%
23%
25%
|
67 | 70 | 3 | 0 |
| 19 Jul. 2014 |
UKR
1 - 1
SRB
32%
25%
43%
|
67 | 64 | 3 | 0 |