Nepal League Round 3

Armed Police Force vs Jawalakhel analysis

Armed Police Force Jawalakhel
28 ELO 28
3.8% Tilt -6.2%
29282º General ELO ranking 35633º
Country ELO ranking 17º
ELO win probability
51.5%
Armed Police Force
20.8%
Draw
27.7%
Jawalakhel

Possible results

Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
51.5%
Win probability
Armed Police Force
2.14
Expected goals
8-0
<0%
+8
<0%
7-0
0.1%
8-1
<0%
+7
0.1%
6-0
0.3%
7-1
0.2%
8-2
<0%
+6
0.5%
5-0
0.9%
6-1
0.5%
7-2
0.1%
8-3
<0%
+5
1.6%
4-0
2.2%
5-1
1.4%
6-2
0.4%
7-3
0.1%
+4
4.1%
3-0
4.1%
4-1
3.4%
5-2
1.1%
6-3
0.2%
7-4
<0%
+3
8.9%
2-0
5.8%
3-1
6.3%
4-2
2.6%
5-3
0.6%
6-4
0.1%
+2
15.4%
1-0
5.4%
2-1
8.9%
3-2
4.9%
4-3
1.3%
5-4
0.2%
6-5
<0%
+1
20.8%
20.8%
Draw
0-0
2.6%
1-1
8.4%
2-2
6.8%
3-3
2.5%
4-4
0.5%
5-5
0.1%
0
20.8%
27.7%
Win probability
Jawalakhel
1.53
Expected goals
0-1
3.9%
1-2
6.4%
2-3
3.5%
3-4
1%
4-5
0.2%
5-6
0%
-1
14.9%
0-2
3%
1-3
3.3%
2-4
1.3%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
7.9%
0-3
1.5%
1-4
1.3%
2-5
0.4%
3-6
0.1%
-3
3.3%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.4%
2-6
0.1%
3-7
0%
-4
1.1%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
2-7
0%
-5
0.3%
0-6
0%
1-7
0%
-6
0.1%
0-7
0%
-7
<0%

ELO Graph/Inclination

← Defensive Tilt Attacking →
Armed Police Force
-37%
-14%
Jawalakhel

Points and table prediction

Armed Police Force
Their league position
Jawalakhel
CURR.POS.
13º
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
30
13º
13º
37
PTS.
Best position
Worst
EXP.
CURR.POS.
Expected position in the table
Current table Final expectations
RK PTS. PTS. RK PROB
Church Boys
48
48
100%
Machhindra
45
45
100%
Nepal Police
41
41
100%
Jawalakhel
37
37
100%
Satdobato
35
35
100%
Tribhuvan Army
34
34
0%
New Road Team
34
34
0%
Three Star
32
32
100%
Manang Marshyangdi
10º
32
32
100%
Sankata
32
32
10º
100%
Himalayan Sherpa
11º
31
31
11º
100%
Friends Club
12º
30
30
12º
100%
Armed Police Force
13º
30
30
13º
100%
Khumaltar
14º
27
27
14º
100%
Expected probabilities
Armed Police Force
Jawalakhel
AFC Cup
0% 0%
Mid-table
0% 100%
Relegation
100% 0%

ELO progression

Armed Police Force
Jawalakhel
Next opponents in ELO points

Matches

Armed Police Force
Armed Police Force
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
08 Mar. 2023
APF
Armed Police Force
0 - 1
Satdobato
SAT
92%
6%
2%
28 10 18 0
04 Mar. 2023
APF
Armed Police Force
2 - 0
Three Star
STA
54%
21%
25%
28 28 0 0
13 Feb. 2020
APF
Armed Police Force
1 - 1
Brigade
BRB
52%
20%
27%
31 32 1 -3
10 Feb. 2020
APF
Armed Police Force
5 - 2
Friends Club
FRC
24%
21%
56%
27 39 12 +4
06 Feb. 2020
APF
Armed Police Force
1 - 2
Tribhuvan Army
ARM
15%
22%
63%
28 49 21 -1

Matches

Jawalakhel
Jawalakhel
1%
X%
2%
ELO ELO Cont. ▵ELO ±ELO
09 Mar. 2023
NRT
New Road Team
1 - 2
Jawalakhel
JYC
51%
22%
28%
28 28 0 0
05 Mar. 2023
MFC
Machhindra
1 - 3
Jawalakhel
JYC
52%
21%
27%
28 28 0 0
14 Feb. 2020
JYC
Jawalakhel
0 - 1
Manang Marshyangdi
MAN
35%
26%
39%
39 44 5 -11
12 Feb. 2020
HIS
Himalayan Sherpa
3 - 3
Jawalakhel
JYC
52%
21%
27%
39 38 1 0
08 Feb. 2020
JYC
Jawalakhel
1 - 0
Friends Club
FRC
41%
22%
37%
38 40 2 +1