Armed Forces vs Samger analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of each margin of victory
52.9%
Win probability
1.4
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.1%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.9%
5-1
0.4%
6-2
<0%
+4
2.3%
3-0
5.4%
4-1
1.4%
5-2
0.1%
+3
7%
2-0
11.6%
3-1
4%
4-2
0.5%
5-3
<0%
+2
16.1%
1-0
16.5%
2-1
8.5%
3-2
1.5%
4-3
0.1%
+1
26.6%
27.5%
Draw
0-0
11.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-2
3.1%
3-3
0.4%
4-4
<0%
0
27.5%
19.6%
Win probability
0.74
Expected goals
0-1
8.7%
1-2
4.5%
2-3
0.8%
3-4
0.1%
-1
14%
0-2
3.2%
1-3
1.1%
2-4
0.1%
-2
4.4%
0-3
0.8%
1-4
0.2%
2-5
0%
-3
1%
0-4
0.1%
1-5
0%
-4
0.2%
0-5
0%
-5
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-3%
-25%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armed Forces
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16 Feb. 2019 |
TAL
0 - 0
ARM
33%
31%
37%
|
64 | 56 | 8 | 0 |
| 09 Feb. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 0
BAN
51%
29%
20%
|
64 | 57 | 7 | 0 |
| 02 Feb. 2019 |
BRI
0 - 2
ARM
47%
29%
24%
|
63 | 66 | 3 | +1 |
| 26 Jan. 2019 |
ARM
1 - 1
BKM
43%
30%
28%
|
63 | 60 | 3 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
FOR
0 - 0
ARM
48%
28%
25%
|
63 | 62 | 1 | 0 |
Matches
Samger
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 15 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 0
GPA
32%
34%
34%
|
54 | 63 | 9 | 0 |
| 10 Feb. 2019 |
GAM
2 - 0
SAM
52%
27%
21%
|
55 | 62 | 7 | -1 |
| 03 Feb. 2019 |
SAM
0 - 1
HAW
38%
31%
31%
|
56 | 58 | 2 | -1 |
| 27 Jan. 2019 |
MAR
0 - 0
SAM
50%
28%
22%
|
56 | 60 | 4 | 0 |
| 20 Jan. 2019 |
SAM
2 - 2
PSV
32%
30%
38%
|
55 | 58 | 3 | +1 |