Armagh City vs Institute analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
44.3%
Win probability
1.55
Expected goals
7-0
<0%
+7
<0%
6-0
0.1%
7-1
<0%
+6
0.2%
5-0
0.5%
6-1
0.1%
7-2
<0%
+5
0.6%
4-0
1.5%
5-1
0.6%
6-2
0.1%
+4
2.1%
3-0
3.8%
4-1
1.8%
5-2
0.4%
6-3
<0%
+3
6%
2-0
7.3%
3-1
4.7%
4-2
1.2%
5-3
0.1%
6-4
<0%
+2
13.3%
1-0
9.4%
2-1
9.1%
3-2
3%
4-3
0.5%
5-4
<0%
+1
22%
24.9%
Draw
0-0
6%
1-1
11.8%
2-2
5.7%
3-3
1.2%
4-4
0.2%
5-5
<0%
0
24.9%
30.7%
Win probability
1.25
Expected goals
0-1
7.6%
1-2
7.4%
2-3
2.4%
3-4
0.4%
4-5
0%
-1
17.7%
0-2
4.7%
1-3
3.1%
2-4
0.7%
3-5
0.1%
-2
8.7%
0-3
2%
1-4
1%
2-5
0.2%
3-6
0%
-3
3.2%
0-4
0.6%
1-5
0.2%
2-6
0%
-4
0.9%
0-5
0.2%
1-6
0.1%
-5
0.2%
0-6
0%
-6
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
-27%
-2%
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armagh City
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24 Oct. 2000 |
ARC
3 - 0
CAR
57%
21%
22%
|
51 | 46 | 5 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
ARC
1 - 1
BAN
52%
24%
24%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
LAR
2 - 3
ARC
51%
24%
25%
|
51 | 51 | 0 | 0 |
| 23 Sep. 2000 |
ARC
3 - 2
LIM
41%
26%
34%
|
50 | 55 | 5 | +1 |
| 16 Sep. 2000 |
LIS
2 - 1
ARC
59%
22%
19%
|
51 | 56 | 5 | -1 |
Matches
Institute
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27 Oct. 2000 |
INS
2 - 0
LIM
50%
24%
26%
|
54 | 54 | 0 | 0 |
| 21 Oct. 2000 |
LIS
2 - 1
INS
50%
24%
26%
|
55 | 54 | 1 | -1 |
| 14 Oct. 2000 |
INS
3 - 1
BAL
62%
21%
17%
|
54 | 47 | 7 | +1 |
| 10 Oct. 2000 |
CAR
2 - 3
INS
46%
24%
30%
|
54 | 49 | 5 | 0 |
| 30 Sep. 2000 |
INS
1 - 1
DUN
41%
25%
33%
|
54 | 59 | 5 | 0 |