Armacenenses vs Lusitano VRSA analysis
Possible results
Probability of each exact result
Probability of handicap
9.2%
Win probability
0.83
Expected goals
4-0
0.1%
5-1
<0%
+4
0.1%
3-0
0.3%
4-1
0.2%
5-2
<0%
+3
0.5%
2-0
1%
3-1
0.8%
4-2
0.2%
5-3
<0%
+2
2.1%
1-0
2.5%
2-1
2.8%
3-2
1%
4-3
0.2%
5-4
<0%
+1
6.5%
14.4%
Draw
0-0
3%
1-1
6.7%
2-2
3.7%
3-3
0.9%
4-4
0.1%
5-5
<0%
0
14.4%
76.4%
Win probability
2.67
Expected goals
0-1
8%
1-2
8.9%
2-3
3.3%
3-4
0.6%
4-5
0.1%
-1
20.9%
0-2
10.7%
1-3
8%
2-4
2.2%
3-5
0.3%
4-6
0%
-2
21.3%
0-3
9.6%
1-4
5.3%
2-5
1.2%
3-6
0.1%
4-7
0%
-3
16.2%
0-4
6.4%
1-5
2.8%
2-6
0.5%
3-7
0.1%
-4
9.8%
0-5
3.4%
1-6
1.3%
2-7
0.2%
3-8
0%
-5
4.9%
0-6
1.5%
1-7
0.5%
2-8
0.1%
-6
2.1%
0-7
0.6%
1-8
0.2%
2-9
0%
-7
0.8%
0-8
0.2%
1-9
0%
-8
0.2%
0-9
0.1%
1-10
0%
-9
0.1%
0-10
0%
-10
<0%
ELO Graph/Inclination
← Defensive
Tilt
Attacking →
ELO progression
Next opponents in ELO points
Matches
Armacenenses
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
FAB
3 - 1
ARM
87%
9%
4%
|
19 | 34 | 15 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 2
MOU
12%
18%
70%
|
20 | 44 | 24 | -1 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
LOU
2 - 1
ARM
83%
12%
5%
|
20 | 43 | 23 | 0 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
ARM
0 - 2
FAR
8%
18%
74%
|
20 | 56 | 36 | 0 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
ARM
1 - 3
PIN
13%
18%
69%
|
21 | 41 | 20 | -1 |
Matches
Lusitano VRSA
|
1%
X%
2%
|
ELO | ELO Cont. | ▵ELO | ±ELO | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11 Dec. 2016 |
LUS
4 - 0
ALJ
63%
20%
16%
|
40 | 35 | 5 | 0 |
| 04 Dec. 2016 |
ALM
1 - 0
LUS
47%
23%
29%
|
40 | 41 | 1 | 0 |
| 27 Nov. 2016 |
VIA
3 - 3
LUS
28%
21%
50%
|
41 | 33 | 8 | -1 |
| 13 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
1 - 0
FAB
68%
19%
14%
|
40 | 33 | 7 | +1 |
| 06 Nov. 2016 |
LUS
2 - 2
MOU
46%
26%
28%
|
40 | 43 | 3 | 0 |